The proposed application follows a steady cooling of relations with the Kremlin. While Armenia remains a member of the Russia-led Collective Security Treaty Organization and hosts a Russian military base, the government is actively seeking to diversify its strategic alliances. Public sentiment in Yerevan has increasingly favored European integration, a trend accelerated by frustration over Russia’s perceived inaction during the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict and alarm at the invasion of Ukraine.
Formalizing the bid is only the initial phase of a complex bureaucratic hurdle. Should the government submit the application, it requires unanimous approval from all 27 EU member states to grant candidate status. Prime Minister Pashinyan intends to hold a national referendum to confirm public support before embarking on the arduous, multi-year accession process. Moscow has already signaled its displeasure through economic pressure, leaving Armenia to navigate the precarious balance between securing a European future and managing the fallout from its historical dependence on Russian energy and security structures.
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