Conducted between October 9 and 13, the poll of 2,545 adults shows that only 28% of respondents feel confident that Trump would concede a defeat. Half of those surveyed stated they were "not at all" confident in his willingness to accept a negative outcome. While Democratic and independent voters drive these numbers, 36% of Republicans also expressed doubts about their party leader's intentions.
Confidence in the electoral process remains higher than confidence in the former president. Roughly 60% of respondents trust that the midterms will be conducted fairly, and 65% believe votes will be counted accurately. In response to the findings, Senator Bernie Sanders urged voters to head to the polls, framing the election as a necessary stand against authoritarianism. Democrats currently hold an 8-point lead in congressional race polling, though Trump continues to campaign despite economic headwinds and a record of military engagement that has drawn sharp criticism.

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