The Kremlin’s strategy relies on a sophisticated mix of sub-threshold sabotage and political maneuvering. While Western sanctions aim to cripple the Russian war machine, a so-called Eurasian roundabout involving China, North Korea, and Iran keeps Moscow’s supply chains intact. Shipping magnates in Dubai and energy tycoons in India continue to prioritize profit over geopolitical alignment, effectively neutralizing the West’s economic leverage.
Beyond simple commerce, Russia taps into deep-seated anti-Americanism across Africa, Asia, and Latin America. Many leaders in these regions view Ukraine not as a sovereign victim of imperialist aggression, but as a proxy for the United States. This perception is fueled by bitter memories of Cold War-era Western interventionism and a lingering, often idealized, nostalgia for the Soviet Union’s role in past liberation struggles. Consequently, the Kremlin successfully reframes the war to suit local narratives, ensuring that Kyiv remains a political pariah in parts of the world essential to global stability.

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